Single correct option
A fair die is rolled once and shows the number . Then fair coins are tossed. Given that exactly two heads appear, the probability that was a prime number is
- A.
- B.
- C.
- D.
Show answer and solution
Answer: (D)
Let be the event of exactly two heads. , and each has prior . Exactly two heads has probability for , and for it is (from ). Multiplying by : the weights are for . Their total is . The primes contribute . By Bayes' theorem the required probability is . The option is the joint probability, not the conditional one, and and come from mishandling the weights of and . Exact fraction arithmetic gives .
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