Two players and take turns rolling one fair die, with rolling first, then , then , and so on. Player wins immediately if rolls a . Player wins immediately if rolls a , or . The game stops as soon as someone wins.
Question 1
Numerical answer
The probability that wins the game is ____. Give the answer correct to two decimal places.
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Answer: 0.29
In one full round both players fail with probability . wins on his own turn in round with probability . Summing the geometric series, . For a consistency check, wins with probability , and , so the game ends with probability one.
Question 2
Numerical answer
The expected total number of rolls made (by both players together) until the game ends is ____. Give the answer correct to two decimal places.
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Answer: 3.14
Let be the number of rolls. Use . The game certainly reaches roll 1. It reaches roll 2 if fails: . It reaches roll 3 if both fail: . It reaches roll 4 if additionally fails again: , and so on, so the probabilities come in pairs multiplied by each round. Thus . This is the geometric-series analogue of the usual waiting-time argument.
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