Numerical answer
Players and throw a fair die alternately, going first, and the first player to throw a six wins. Given that the game is decided within the first four throws, let be the probability that is the winner. The value of is
Show answer and solution
Answer: 5
Let . The game ends on throw with probability . It is decided within four throws with probability . Player wins only on even throws and , with total probability . The conditional probability is . Therefore . The unconditional answer for an unbounded game is also , since the same cancellation of occurs there.
Saved on this device. Sign in or create a free account to keep it on every device.